Geostatistical Investigations on the Spread of COVID-19

Abstract

A MATLAB tool has been developed for monitoring and analysing the spread of the COVID-19 virus. With the use of the tool geostatistical analysis of the continuously developing time series of contagion can be performed, which may be a useful tool for decisionmakers on planning future actions. The major features are geographical display of the status of the virus spread, time series of confirmed / fatal / recovered / active cases of the disease on cumulative and on daily basis, centre and radius of the spread, best fitting bell curve of the active cases, and general statistics (CRF, modified CFR, attack rate, mortality rate). Each feature can be used globally or country-wise. Results on 28 June 2020 indicates that the COVID-19 globally is in ascending phase yet, meanwhile in several countries worldwide a 2nd phase of contagion has been started.